San Francisco: Just 49 square miles of hills, hugged by the Pacific Ocean and San Francisco Bay, but packed with more soul, style, and inspiration than most cities ten times its size.
TenantSee Weekly: Short-Term Loan Extensions Don't Equal Stability
TenantSee Weekly: What Tenants See Impacts Tenancy
Most of what tenants need to see in order to make smart leasing decisions is not immediately visible. It must be uncovered through strategic discovery and analysis. That’s the mission of TenantSee: to provide the process and resources that bring hidden factors to light. We don’t make decisions for our clients—we make their decisions better.
TenantSee Weekly: What's Missing
Negotiating office leases is like any other complex financial decision in that more information leads to better decisions. Yet companies face challenges acquiring the right information at the right time. Why? Because the services typically offered by real estate brokerages are centered on transacting based on site selection and the negotiation of basic rental economics. This is not enough. Sometimes, these services (at least) include a level of multi-building negotiation, exercising a degree of leverage, but too often they lack the proper structure to gather and assess critical data, data that will have a big impact on outcome.
TenantSee Weekly: What Will We Do?
TenantSee Weekly: How a Building Sale Affects Lease Negotiations
The pace of investment sale activity in San Francisco is accelerating. This is the “Great Reset” about which we’ve written. It’s driven by capital partners (equity/lenders) deciding there is no viable pathway to own their way to an exit and choosing to sell (usually at a steep discount to what they paid and/or the value of the debt). Ultimately, these capital stack resets are healthy as they activate the asset, enabling new capital partners to transact at market.
TenantSee Weekly: Leverage
TenantSee Weekly: Men's Fashion - A Random Commentary
In the 1990s, my pants fit more loosely. They were often pleated. Then, seemingly overnight, loose fitting, pleated pants were out of fashion. To be fashionable required an entirely new product, a new look. My now out of fashion, yet still perfectly serviceable, pleated trousers were initially (optimistically?) relegated to the back of the closet, ultimately to be unceremoniously delivered to Goodwill.
TenantSee Weekly: No Free Lunch
The office product offering is shifting to provide an array of hospitality-inspired experiences that, in some cases, rival those of a 5-Star hotel. San Francisco landlords have lagged other markets in providing such high-end amenities because in the 2 decades prior to the pandemic, the supply/demand dynamic favored landlords, making it easier to lease space (e.g., they didn’t have to). For the past several years, however, San Francisco landlords have begun to spend millions on targeted amenities. The typical playbook calls for some combination of health/fitness, conferencing and events, club/lounge/bar spaces, and specialty spaces, like golf simulator rooms and podcasting studios.
TenantSee Weekly: What Do You See?
TenantSee Weekly: How Investor Exit Options Affect the San Francisco Office Market
TenantSee Weekly: Do Cities Still Matter?
I grew up in a small town but I always dreamed about big cities. I sensed they were special places where, given the right amount of drive, the right mindset, one simply could not fail. Sure, there would be ups and downs, but cities provided access to a robust network of opportunity. This was in stark contrast to the small New England towns of my childhood, many of which never fully recovered from the demise of the textile mills in the early 1900s.
TenantSee Weekly: Middle Manager on the Shelf
Our young children, now 8 and 9, have formed a special bond with Lucy and Jack, two elves assigned by Santa to watch over them. For the past several years, Lucy and Jack have demonstrated extraordinary commitment to our family. They’ve traveled during the holidays, magically appearing at our vacation destinations. They’ve even stayed on after Christmas, despite being needed at the North Pole. Just the other day, I found one of our children covering them in cinnamon (apparently this helps them get their magic back after being touched by humans). To be sure, their presence has sharpened our children’s focus, causing them to think twice about being naughty, providing a welcome assist on the parental front.
TenantSee Weekly: What's the Rate
If you look at the quarterly market reports provided by all major real estate service firms (Cushman & Wakefield, included), you will find that rent data is typically expressed in terms of “Asking Rents”. Reports will cite the trend in Average Asking Rents by submarket, or by building class. This is a somewhat misleading indicator. Why? Because it does not reflect the rent after negotiations, which often includes reductions in rate from the Asking Rate and potentially significant landlord-funded concessions. In other words, Asking Rents reflect what landlords are asking, not what they’re getting.
TenantSee Weekly: Contradictions in Logic
These days, the resetting of capital stacks (the ownership structures for office buildings) is most often facilitated through selling the building. The current market sale dynamic typically involves one set of financial partners (equity, lenders) taking big losses to permit a new set of investors and lenders to “reset” the capital stack on economic terms that provide a pathway to success (e.g., a productive investment).
TenantSee Weekly: A Good Desk
TenantSee Weekly: In a Vaccum
Office leases are complicated undertakings comprised of many variables. The markets offer a variety of solutions, ranging from coworking to subleases to long and short-term direct leases. It’s always important for corporate leaders to understand the primary objectives they seek to achieve in leasing office space. But even when these objectives are well defined, it can be tricky to assess which solution is best.
TenantSee Weekly: Taxis and the Offices
Technology replaces that which it improves.
Not long ago, the streets of San Francisco were full of taxis. Simply by raising your arm, you could hail a taxi in minutes. Then, Uber and Lyft created their apps. Their intention was always to disrupt an industry that hadn’t changed in decades. Initially, many taxi drivers transitioned to become Uber and Lyft drivers, likely anticipating the technology would shift, not replace their work. But that’s not how this is turning out. Autonomous vehicles will replace human-driven, human transport solutions in major cities where taxi drivers once thrived.
TenantSee Weekly: Disbributed (but only a little)
Surveys indicate most workers favor a distributed workplace in which they can work from anywhere, any time. When it comes to work, individuals focus (mostly) on their own specific benefits, as opposed to thinking about how the ways in which their work gets done affects the broader organization. This makes sense, as one of the key benefits of our economic system is how it permits the individual to get ahead, to maximize its value. Employees realize value in a variety of ways, including compensation and other variables. Flexibility in where and when people work is high on the list of non-compensation related variables.
