TenantSee Weekly: A Good Desk
Did you know the modern desk dates to 2000 BC? It was used by ancient Egyptian scribes. Over the centuries, the desk has evolved, often to keep pace with new technologies. For example, the steel desks of the early 20th century were designed, in part, to provide better support for heavy typewriters.
TenantSee Weekly: In a Vaccum
Office leases are complicated undertakings comprised of many variables. The markets offer a variety of solutions, ranging from coworking to subleases to long and short-term direct leases. It’s always important for corporate leaders to understand the primary objectives they seek to achieve in leasing office space. But even when these objectives are well defined, it can be tricky to assess which solution is best.
TenantSee Weekly: Taxis and the Offices
Technology replaces that which it improves.
Not long ago, the streets of San Francisco were full of taxis. Simply by raising your arm, you could hail a taxi in minutes. Then, Uber and Lyft created their apps. Their intention was always to disrupt an industry that hadn’t changed in decades. Initially, many taxi drivers transitioned to become Uber and Lyft drivers, likely anticipating the technology would shift, not replace their work. But that’s not how this is turning out. Autonomous vehicles will replace human-driven, human transport solutions in major cities where taxi drivers once thrived.
TenantSee Weekly: Disbributed (but only a little)
Surveys indicate most workers favor a distributed workplace in which they can work from anywhere, any time. When it comes to work, individuals focus (mostly) on their own specific benefits, as opposed to thinking about how the ways in which their work gets done affects the broader organization. This makes sense, as one of the key benefits of our economic system is how it permits the individual to get ahead, to maximize its value. Employees realize value in a variety of ways, including compensation and other variables. Flexibility in where and when people work is high on the list of non-compensation related variables.
TenantSee Weekly: Sell Your Occupancy by Leveraging Options
Negotiating a great office leasing outcome requires engagement with multiple prospective landlords over multiple rounds of negotiation. It’s not just about having options; it’s about using them to create leverage.
TenantSee Weekly: How Your Landlord's Tax Reduction May Cost You
Over the past several years, the market value of San Francisco office buildings has dropped by more than 30%. Indeed, in some cases, asset values have declined much more, as evidenced by valuations associated with vacancy-challenged asset sales over the past couple of years. Importantly, a large percentage of the San Francisco office market either traded or was financed in the years prior to the pandemic, when valuations were high and debt was cheap. These activities created increased tax revenue for the city.
TenantSee Weekly: What Comes Next For Office
We’ve noticed an interesting shift in how companies are thinking about their offices. For some time now, many companies have resolved to employ a hybrid approach to workplace, having employees work in office for a designated number of days each week. In many cases, this solution was chosen more for how it seemingly struck a compromise between employers who wanted employees in the office and employees who sought freedom to choose. To date, companies have been relatively lax in enforcing their workplace plan. What’s changed? Leadership is now becoming increasingly frustrated at spending on underutilized real estate. Companies track space usage, and they don’t like what they’re seeing. The occupancy reality is often way below what it would otherwise be if employees were following the hybrid work policy. The company leasing 10,000 sf to accommodate an average of 10 workers each day is (painfully) aware of the wasted spend.
TenantSee Weekly: From Blend and Extend to End and Extend
The so called “blend and extend” deal structure has a number of applications, among them a scenario in which a landlord might account for a downward adjustment to a tenant’s rent by amortizing the value of the adjustment with interest into a new term. Say, for example, a tenant has 3 years remaining on a lease and the market value for the space has dropped from $75/sf to $60/sf. The landlord would adjust the rate to market ($60/sf) and spread the $15/sf differential over the new term. If the interest rate were 8%, and the term 7-years, this would add $2.80/sf to the rent.
TenantSee Weekly: Sweet Spot
How do you know when you’ve fully accessed market leverage in negotiating a lease extension? It’s when you find the sweet spot, a place in which the economics of the potential relocation lease match the lowest value the existing landlord is willing to offer. This is not a simple exercise of identifying the asking rents for alternative sites and asking the landlord to match. No, instead, it’s a byproduct of a carefully orchestrated negotiation that involves 2 main elements:
TenantSee Weeky: A Big Decline in Rents, Four Years in the Making
Throughout 2020, the prevailing sentiment among investors in the San Francisco office market was one of relative optimism. After all, despite the fact tenants were prohibited from occupying their buildings, they continued to collect full rent. The buildings were full, with vacancy hovering around 4%. Sure, companies weren’t happy about paying for space they couldn’t use, but business was good. In many cases the tech sector (which makes up most of San Francisco’s office occupancy) was booming due to an even greater reliance on and usage of tech caused by pandemic driven changes in how people were living. Throughout the course of 2020 there was no reason for San Francisco investors to panic, as few (if any) office occupiers were showing signs of developing long-term hybrid or remote-first strategies. Most were simply focused on solving for ongoing operations as a temporary reaction to the pandemic. Yet early indicators did point to a future in which companies would be shedding office space, as some expiring leases were not replaced. This, coupled with the addition of new supply, caused a big increase in vacancy to nearly 12% by year end. Despite this large uptick, the brunt of the sluggish demand dynamic was being felt in the sublease markets, where rental economics more accurately reflected the true state of the market. Despite a total closing of the office market in 2020, average asking rents ended the year off just 6% from the pre-pandemic high.
TenantSee Weekly: Thinking About Physical Spaces
I suspect most of us are caught off guard by change at scale. When thinking about the pace of change over the last 15 years, it’s clear we’ve entered a new era, one in which technology is enabling us to rethink EVERYTHING. Change in how we design and occupy physical space is inevitable. The skyscraper boom began in the late 1800s and the product playbook in urban core office markets has remained mostly unchanged for decades. Similarly, the ways in which the office product has been developed and owned, the investment thesis, has been largely unchanged in how it relies on capturing the best occupants in leases that reflect the highest possible pricing and the longest possible term to generate stable net operating income and bankable future value.
TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part VI: Negotiating the Lease
Leases vary by building, by market, and by market circumstances. In most major metros, when dealing with larger buildings, the lease document is sophisticated and complex, addressing a broad range of variables that will have a material impact on the occupier’s experience at the building, as well as its cost of occupancy. If you’ve done a good job negotiating the letter of intent, you should begin the lease negotiation phase from a position of relative strength. However, even when the letter of intent is fully maximized, there’s still a lot to negotiate in the lease.
TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part V: Negotiating the Letter of Intent
The letter of intent (“LOI”) is a non-binding document (although in unique circumstances they can be binding) which captures the terms and conditions upon which the parties have agreed and becomes the basis for a legally binding document (the lease). The best LOIs are highly detailed and cover a wide range of topics from rental economics to flexibility mechanisms (like expansion, contraction, termination, and extension options) to operating expense inclusions and exclusions, and much more. The occupier’s ability to include more items in the letter of intent varies somewhat by the circumstances of the market. In tight markets like San Francisco circa 2019, landlords could get away with limiting the level of detail covered in the LOI. Why would a landlord want to limit the LOI in this manner? Because they gain leverage. Most tenants don’t enter into the lease negotiation until late in their market process, meaning they’ve burned through a lot of the project schedule and will soon need to transition to design and construction in order to get the space ready on time. In short, limiting the terms of the LOI is a way for the landlord to jam the tenant on timing, forcing them to be more conciliatory to preserve schedule. In this current environment, nearly all tenants can enjoy the benefits of expanding the content of the LOI.
TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part III: The Right Strategy
Once you’ve established the purpose of your physical workspace, and given careful thought to budget and schedule, it’s time to develop the right strategy. This is a vital step prior to market engagement. Good strategy is not always obvious. At a minimum, any effective real estate strategy will include simultaneous assessment of multiple deal scenarios. Why would this matter? For starters, negotiation outcomes are not known. At the beginning of the process, the favored outcome may be to stay in the existing space. However, as the process evolves over multiple rounds of negotiation, we often find that things change in ways that may cause the desired outcome to shift. For example, when the existing landlord offers terms that are materially less favorable than those achievable through relocation.
TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part II: Budget and Schedule
Last week we established the importance of defining “the purpose” behind your workplace, especially those elements of the workplace which are expressed through physical spaces. This is the first (and vitally important) step companies must take before they begin a real estate process (e.g., the process of acquiring space). Once established, the next step is to think carefully about budget and schedule. These considerations, much like the discussion of purpose, are greatly aided by working closely with your real estate advisor. Here, again, companies must shift how they think about the engagement of real estate advisory services. Having the right real estate partner on board from the very beginning facilitates access to critical data and insights. The process of properly defining the budget and schedule are both areas in which the advisor can play a key role.
TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part I: The Purpose
In the years leading up to the pandemic, most medium and small companies defined their office space need based on headcount (current and projected), space programming, and industry/sector norms. The exercise was mostly formulaic. The primary differences in the offices of a small, regional law firm compared to those of an AM Law 100 firm would be scale, the cost of finishes, and the quality of the building and views. It was planning for the same outcome, just at different levels on the cost spectrum. Companies having a larger portfolio of offices would typically create a “workplace strategy” that included guidelines around programming (e.g., space layout, office size, critical adjacencies, growth factor, finishes, FF&E, etc.). These guidelines could then be used to inform the real estate process across geography.
TenantSee Weekly: Where Does It Hurt?
Office lease negotiations typically cause pain for one party because leverage is rarely balanced such that the outcome is a true win/win. Sure, the actual winner will suggest the other party also won (after all, they got the deal), but sometimes winning feels a lot like losing. That’s OK. Markets ebb and flow. What matters is that you know how you’re hurting the other party.
TenantSee Weekly: This, or That?
Negotiations are always about (or should always be about) this or that. There’s always something else, maybe that something else is nothing (as in sometimes the best thing to do is nothing at all). Decisions made without proper consideration of all relevant alternative scenarios are decisions made poorly. As important, in the context of office lease negotiations, the best negotiated outcomes are directly correlated to the extent to which we understand the alternatives of the landlord counterparty. This is a bit counter intuitive, allow us to explain.
