Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg

TenantSee Weekly: Active Listening, the Skilled Negotiator's Secret Weapon

Office lease negotiations are complex, involving numerous parties (the principals and their advisors), and covering a wide range of issues, from economic to legal.  The most effective negotiators are those who possess both a deep understanding of the markets, and the ability to actively listen while negotiating. 

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TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part VII: Design and Construction

One common mistake tenants and their advisors make when negotiating the office lease is failure to properly account for design and construction implications.  These are important considerations.  Space design plays a vital role in determining the efficacy of the space, how it translates in terms of value to the employees.  Construction is expensive, representing a material component of the tenant’s total occupancy cost.  Gaining understanding about design and construction at the right time in the transaction process provides useful data in the context of effective negotiations.

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TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part VI: Negotiating the Lease

Leases vary by building, by market, and by market circumstances.  In most major metros, when dealing with larger buildings, the lease document is sophisticated and complex, addressing a broad range of variables that will have a material impact on the occupier’s experience at the building, as well as its cost of occupancy.  If you’ve done a good job negotiating the letter of intent, you should begin the lease negotiation phase from a position of relative strength.  However, even when the letter of intent is fully maximized, there’s still a lot to negotiate in the lease.

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TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part V: Negotiating the Letter of Intent

The letter of intent (“LOI”) is a non-binding document (although in unique circumstances they can be binding) which captures the terms and conditions upon which the parties have agreed and becomes the basis for a legally binding document (the lease).  The best LOIs are highly detailed and cover a wide range of topics from rental economics to flexibility mechanisms (like expansion, contraction, termination, and extension options) to operating expense inclusions and exclusions, and much more.  The occupier’s ability to include more items in the letter of intent varies somewhat by the circumstances of the market.  In tight markets like San Francisco circa 2019, landlords could get away with limiting the level of detail covered in the LOI.  Why would a landlord want to limit the LOI in this manner?  Because they gain leverage.  Most tenants don’t enter into the lease negotiation until late in their market process, meaning they’ve burned through a lot of the project schedule and will soon need to transition to design and construction in order to get the space ready on time.  In short, limiting the terms of the LOI is a way for the landlord to jam the tenant on timing, forcing them to be more conciliatory to preserve schedule.  In this current environment, nearly all tenants can enjoy the benefits of expanding the content of the LOI. 

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TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part IV: Implementing an Effective Market Process

You’ve identified the purpose behind your physical space needs, you’ve created a thorough project budget and schedule, and you’ve developed the right strategy.  It’s now time to implement a market process. 
 
What is “…a market process”?  In the context of office leasing, market process is how you engage the market.  It ties to your strategy, with sensitivity to the objectives you seek to accomplish.  The market is where you implement your strategy, where you take it from theory to reality.
 

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Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg

TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part III: The Right Strategy

Once you’ve established the purpose of your physical workspace, and given careful thought to budget and schedule, it’s time to develop the right strategy. This is a vital step prior to market engagement. Good strategy is not always obvious.  At a minimum, any effective real estate strategy will include simultaneous assessment of multiple deal scenarios. Why would this matter? For starters, negotiation outcomes are not known.  At the beginning of the process, the favored outcome may be to stay in the existing space. However, as the process evolves over multiple rounds of negotiation, we often find that things change in ways that may cause the desired outcome to shift. For example, when the existing landlord offers terms that are materially less favorable than those achievable through relocation. 

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TenantSee Weekly: Modern Workplace Planning: Solving for Experience Part I: The Purpose

In the years leading up to the pandemic, most medium and small companies defined their office space need based on headcount (current and projected), space programming, and industry/sector norms.  The exercise was mostly formulaic.  The primary differences in the offices of a small, regional law firm compared to those of an AM Law 100 firm would be scale, the cost of finishes, and the quality of the building and views.  It was planning for the same outcome, just at different levels on the cost spectrum.  Companies having a larger portfolio of offices would typically create a “workplace strategy” that included guidelines around programming (e.g., space layout, office size, critical adjacencies, growth factor, finishes, FF&E, etc.).  These guidelines could then be used to inform the real estate process across geography.

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TenantSee Weekly: Where Does It Hurt?

Office lease negotiations typically cause pain for one party because leverage is rarely balanced such that the outcome is a true win/win.  Sure, the actual winner will suggest the other party also won (after all, they got the deal), but sometimes winning feels a lot like losing.  That’s OK.  Markets ebb and flow.  What matters is that you know how you’re hurting the other party.

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TenantSee Weekly: This, or That?

Negotiations are always about (or should always be about) this or that.  There’s always something else, maybe that something else is nothing (as in sometimes the best thing to do is nothing at all).  Decisions made without proper consideration of all relevant alternative scenarios are decisions made poorly.  As important, in the context of office lease negotiations, the best negotiated outcomes are directly correlated to the extent to which we understand the alternatives of the landlord counterparty.  This is a bit counter intuitive, allow us to explain. 

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TenantSee Weekly: The Office as Hotel

I participate in a lot of “conversations” on LinkedIn in which people argue that office buildings should be as flexible as hotels.   I love to explore the possibilities, the idea the office can be something different, something better.  But sometimes these conversations are so detached from reality it makes my head hurt.

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TenantSee Weekly: Successful Negotiating Strategies for Office Tenants

Many business executives know how to negotiate.  Indeed, it’s a vital skillset essential to advancement in nearly all careers.  But not all negotiations are equal.  Negotiating leases on behalf of office tenants, for example, is a specialized undertaking.  As with all negotiations, successful tenant lease negotiations are highly correlated with understanding the motivations of the counterparty.  This means knowing everything about the landlord, including the equity and debt positions, the investment thesis, the leasing dynamic at the building (vacancy, lease rollover, etc.), the value of any recently completed comparable lease transactions in the building and in the market, and the overall market dynamic.  These factors are fundamental to assessing leverage.  Yet even when these basic elements are in place, the act of exercising leverage also requires special skills. 

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Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg

TenantSee Weekly: The Negative Deal

Investors invest in office buildings to generate a positive return on their investment.  Return is created in 2 primary ways, one is through ongoing profits generated from the individual leasing transactions completed within the project, and the other is through financing activities (taking on debt which allows the investor to pull equity from the investment or selling the asset).  This TenantSee Weekly is focused on the first of these 2 scenarios, the one in which the landlord seeks to create positive cash flow through its leasing activities.

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TenantSee Weekly: Conflict in Tenant Advisory

Years ago, I was a partner at The Staubach Company, one of the industry’s most prominent tenant-only advisory firms.  The Staubach Company was a highly ethical business, full of skilled tenant advisors.  One of the firm’s core value propositions was that its advisory services were free of conflict.  The conflict narrative is powerful in how it seemingly separates the conflict-free advisor from most other brokerage firms which serve both occupiers and landlords.  Tenant-only firms often differentiate themselves with statements like, “…when you hire us, you never have to be concerned that we’re beholden to a landlord who pays us millions of dollars each year in fees”;  or “…we fight harder for you because we’re not concerned about our relationship with the landlord”.  To the unknowing audience, these statements can make it seem that all so-called “full-service” firms (those with diverse practices) are incapable of providing ethical, conflict-free occupier advisory services.  When you consider the spectrum of tenant-only firms is very small, as a sales tactic, this is a brilliant approach in that it significantly narrows the competitive landscape, making it more probably the tenant-only firm will be hired. 

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TenantSee Weekly: TenantSee Team San Francisco Market Predictions: 2024

Let us lend our TenantSee perspective to the coming year.  Despite green shoots from 2 large AI sector leases (Open AI and Anthropic), demand for San Francisco office space remained low throughout 2023, yielding 4 more quarters of negative net absorption.  We finished the year with vacancy at >35% - an historical record.  The market is under significant stress, creating sizable opportunities for occupiers.
 

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