Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg

TenantSee Weekly: Impossible Math

Imagine you invested in an office building in San Francisco in 2015.  At the time, the building was 95% occupied.  You paid $750/sf for the building and secured a loan on 50% of the value at the rate of 3.5%.  50% of the building’s tenant leases rolled in 2023/2024, a fact you underwrote as opportunity, opportunity to increase net operating income by achieving higher rents.  Then the pandemic hit.

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Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg Op-Ed, Commercial Real Estate, Bay Area greg fogg

TenantSee Weekly: The Negative Deal

Investors invest in office buildings to generate a positive return on their investment.  Return is created in 2 primary ways, one is through ongoing profits generated from the individual leasing transactions completed within the project, and the other is through financing activities (taking on debt which allows the investor to pull equity from the investment or selling the asset).  This TenantSee Weekly is focused on the first of these 2 scenarios, the one in which the landlord seeks to create positive cash flow through its leasing activities.

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